The risk that matters most
The end borrowers are not the main danger. The originator is. The originator finds the loans, collects the money, and reports the numbers. You are not in the room. Everything you know about the pool, you know because they told you.The shape of the problem
The originator problem
Why credit loss and originator failure look nothing alike in the data, and why
only one of them is handled by the waterfall.
The Goldfinch case study
A dashboard showing 20% losses against a real figure near 70%, and $18M of
documented losses.
The four controls
What is actually done about it, in order of importance.
Limits
What arrives later, and the boundary no smart contract closes.